Will Paul Coll win the 2025-26 Men's PSA World Squash Championship
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 32% across 12 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
32%
12 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$3K
12 contracts
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
23 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
12 clusters across 12 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Diego Elias win the 2025-26 Men's PSA World Squash Championship
Will Diego Elias win the 2025-26 Men's PSA World Squash Championship?: Diego Elias
KXPSASQUASH-26M-DELI
Cluster 2
Will Caroline Fouts win the 2025-26 Women's PSA World Squash Championship
Will Caroline Fouts win the 2025-26 Women's PSA World Squash Championship?: Caroline Fouts
KXPSASQUASH-26W-CFOU
Cluster 3
Will Mostafa Asal win the 2025-26 Men's PSA World Squash Championship
Will Mostafa Asal win the 2025-26 Men's PSA World Squash Championship?: Mostafa Asal
KXPSASQUASH-26M-MASA
Cluster 4
Will Hania El Hammamy win the 2025-26 Women's PSA World Squash Championship
Will Hania El Hammamy win the 2025-26 Women's PSA World Squash Championship?: Hania El Hammamy
KXPSASQUASH-26W-HELH
Cluster 5
Will Amina Orfi win the 2025-26 Women's PSA World Squash Championship
Will Amina Orfi win the 2025-26 Women's PSA World Squash Championship?: Amina Orfi
KXPSASQUASH-26W-AORF
Cluster 6
Will Nour ElSherbini win the 2025-26 Women's PSA World Squash Championship
Will Nour ElSherbini win the 2025-26 Women's PSA World Squash Championship?: Nour ElSherbini
KXPSASQUASH-26W-NELS
Cluster 7
Will Paul Coll win the 2025-26 Men's PSA World Squash Championship
Will Paul Coll win the 2025-26 Men's PSA World Squash Championship?: Paul Coll
KXPSASQUASH-26M-PCOL
Cluster 8
Will Youssef Ibrahim win the 2025-26 Men's PSA World Squash Championship
Will Youssef Ibrahim win the 2025-26 Men's PSA World Squash Championship?: Youssef Ibrahim
KXPSASQUASH-26M-YIBR
Cluster 9
Will Marina Stefanoni win the 2025-26 Women's PSA World Squash Championship
Will Marina Stefanoni win the 2025-26 Women's PSA World Squash Championship?: Marina Stefanoni
KXPSASQUASH-26W-MSTEF
Cluster 10
Will Tinne Gilis win the 2025-26 Women's PSA World Squash Championship
Will Tinne Gilis win the 2025-26 Women's PSA World Squash Championship?: Tinne Gilis
KXPSASQUASH-26W-TGIL
Cluster 11
Will Sivasangari Subramaniam win the 2025-26 Women's PSA World Squash Championship
Cluster 12
Will Olivia Weaver win the 2025-26 Women's PSA World Squash Championship
Will Olivia Weaver win the 2025-26 Women's PSA World Squash Championship?: Olivia Weaver
KXPSASQUASH-26W-OWEA
Analysis
This 32% probability indicates that Paul Coll is estimated to have roughly a one-in-three chance of winning the 2025-26 Men's PSA World Squash Championship. The current assessment reflects Coll's ranking and recent performance relative to other top competitors in professional squash. Movement in this probability would depend on Coll's results in major tournaments leading up to the championship final, which typically occurs in late 2026, and how competitors' form evolves throughout the season. Key drivers include Coll's consistency in ranking events, injuries or form changes among other top players, and head-to-head matchup results in the months preceding the championship. The championship resolution date remains the primary catalyst that will determine the outcome.
- ›Paul Coll's current PSA ranking and recent tournament performance compared to other seeded contenders
- ›Win-loss record against the top 5-10 ranked players in squash during the 2025-26 season
- ›Tournament results from major PSA events (including Masters and Platinum Series events) from January through the championship date
- ›Health status and participation consistency—absences or injuries to Coll or competing top players would materially affect probability
- ›Recent head-to-head match records between Coll and historically favored championship contenders
What moved the line
- May 7Sivasangari Subramaniam↓91pp96→5¢ · Kalshi
- May 3Hania El Hammamy↑23pp26→49¢ · Kalshi
- May 2Hania El Hammamy↓14pp40→26¢ · Kalshi
- May 2Nour ElSherbini↓8pp33→25¢ · Kalshi
- May 3Mostafa Asal↓3pp58→55¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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