What will be the exact order of standings for Group G in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup
Leader sits at 35% across 20 bound outcomes, runner-up at 31%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
1: Brazil / 2: Morocco / 3: Scotland / 4: Haiti
Outcomes
20
winner-take-all
Runner-up
31¢
1: Spain / 2: Uruguay / 3: S
Spread
4pp
contested
24h volume
$18K
liquid
Closes
Jul 12, 2026
35 days
Venue
Kalshi
20 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
What will be the exact order of standings for Group
What will be the exact order of standings for Group D in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: 1: USA / 2: Turkiye / 3: Paraguay / 4: Australia
KXWCGROUPORDER-D26-USATURPARAUS
What will be the exact order of standings for Group D in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: 1: Turkiye / 2: USA / 3: Paraguay / 4: Australia
KXWCGROUPORDER-D26-TURUSAPARAUS
What will be the exact order of standings for Group A in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: 1: Mexico / 2: Korea Republic / 3: Czechia / 4: South Africa
KXWCGROUPORDER-26A-MEXKORCZERSA
What will be the exact order of standings for Group F in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: 1: Netherlands / 2: Japan / 3: Sweden / 4: Tunisia
KXWCGROUPORDER-26F-NEDJPNSWETUN
What will be the exact order of standings for Group I in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: 1: France / 2: Norway / 3: Senegal / 4: Iraq
KXWCGROUPORDER-26I-FRANORSENIRQ
What will be the exact order of standings for Group C in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: 1: Brazil / 2: Morocco / 3: Scotland / 4: Haiti
KXWCGROUPORDER-C26-BRAMARSCOHTI
What will be the exact order of standings for Group G in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: 1: Belgium / 2: Egypt / 3: IR Iran / 4: New Zealand
KXWCGROUPORDER-26G-BELEGYIRINZL
What will be the exact order of standings for Group A in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: 1: Mexico / 2: Czechia / 3: Korea Republic / 4: South Africa
KXWCGROUPORDER-26A-MEXCZEKORRSA
What will be the exact order of standings for Group L in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: 1: England / 2: Croatia / 3: Panama / 4: Ghana
KXWCGROUPORDER-26L-ENGCROPANGHA
What will be the exact order of standings for Group D in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: 1: Paraguay / 2: USA / 3: Turkiye / 4: Australia
KXWCGROUPORDER-D26-PARUSATURAUS
What will be the exact order of standings for Group A in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: 1: Mexico / 2: Czechia / 3: South Africa / 4: Korea Republic
KXWCGROUPORDER-26A-MEXCZERSAKOR
What will be the exact order of standings for Group D in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: 1: Turkiye / 2: Paraguay / 3: USA / 4: Australia
KXWCGROUPORDER-D26-TURPARUSAAUS
What will be the exact order of standings for Group F in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: 1: Japan / 2: Netherlands / 3: Sweden / 4: Tunisia
KXWCGROUPORDER-26F-JPNNEDSWETUN
What will be the exact order of standings for Group D in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: 1: USA / 2: Turkiye / 3: Australia / 4: Paraguay
KXWCGROUPORDER-D26-USATURAUSPAR
What will be the exact order of standings for Group D in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: 1: USA / 2: Australia / 3: Turkiye / 4: Paraguay
KXWCGROUPORDER-D26-USAAUSTURPAR
What will be the exact order of standings for Group A in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: 1: Korea Republic / 2: Mexico / 3: Czechia / 4: South Africa
KXWCGROUPORDER-26A-KORMEXCZERSA
What will be the exact order of standings for Group H in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: 1: Spain / 2: Uruguay / 3: Saudi Arabia / 4: Cape Verde
KXWCGROUPORDER-26H-ESPURUKSACPV
What will be the exact order of standings for Group G in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: 1: Belgium / 2: IR Iran / 3: Egypt / 4: New Zealand
KXWCGROUPORDER-26G-BELIRIEGYNZL
What will be the exact order of standings for Group F in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: 1: Netherlands / 2: Japan / 3: Tunisia / 4: Sweden
KXWCGROUPORDER-26F-NEDJPNTUNSWE
What will be the exact order of standings for Group F in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: 1: Japan / 2: Netherlands / 3: Tunisia / 4: Sweden
KXWCGROUPORDER-26F-JPNNEDTUNSWE
What moved the line
- Jun 51: Spain / 2: Uruguay / 3: Saudi Arabia / 4: Cape Verde↑22pp7→29¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 51: Brazil / 2: Morocco / 3: Scotland / 4: Haiti↑16pp8→24¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 41: Belgium / 2: IR Iran / 3: Egypt / 4: New Zealand↓15pp25→10¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 51: France / 2: Norway / 3: Senegal / 4: Iraq↑13pp9→22¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 41: Turkiye / 2: USA / 3: Paraguay / 4: Australia↑12pp2→14¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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