Courtney Williams: 6+ assists
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 36% across 8 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
36%
8 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$37
8 contracts
Closes
Jun 2, 2026
9 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
8 clusters across 8 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 20% of their title tokens — “Allisha Gray: 3+ assists: Allisha Gray: 3+” vs “Sonia Citron: 3+ assists: Sonia Citron: 3+”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Allisha Gray: 3+ assists: Allisha Gray: 3+
Allisha Gray: 3+ assists: Allisha Gray: 3+
KXWNBAAST-26MAY24PHXATL-ATLAGRAY15-3
Cluster 2
Sonia Citron: 3+ assists: Sonia Citron: 3+
Sonia Citron: 3+ assists: Sonia Citron: 3+
KXWNBAAST-26MAY24WSHSEA-WSHSCITRON22-3
Cluster 3
Rhyne Howard: 5+ assists: Rhyne Howard: 5+
Rhyne Howard: 5+ assists: Rhyne Howard: 5+
KXWNBAAST-26MAY24PHXATL-ATLRHOWARD10-5
Cluster 4
Alyssa Thomas: 9+ assists: Alyssa Thomas: 9+
Alyssa Thomas: 9+ assists: Alyssa Thomas: 9+
KXWNBAAST-26MAY24PHXATL-PHXATHOMAS25-9
Cluster 5
Arike Ogunbowale: 3+ assists: Arike Ogunbowale: 3+
Arike Ogunbowale: 3+ assists: Arike Ogunbowale: 3+
KXWNBAAST-26MAY24DALNY-DALAOGUNBOWALE24-3
Cluster 6
Breanna Stewart: 3+ assists: Breanna Stewart: 3+
Breanna Stewart: 3+ assists: Breanna Stewart: 3+
KXWNBAAST-26MAY24DALNY-NYBSTEWART30-3
Cluster 7
Paige Bueckers: 6+ assists: Paige Bueckers: 6+
Paige Bueckers: 6+ assists: Paige Bueckers: 6+
KXWNBAAST-26MAY24DALNY-DALPBUECKERS5-6
Cluster 8
Sabrina Ionescu: 5+ assists: Sabrina Ionescu: 5+
Sabrina Ionescu: 5+ assists: Sabrina Ionescu: 5+
KXWNBAAST-26MAY24DALNY-NYSIONESCU20-5
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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