2026 Women's French Open Winner

30-day trend

Analysis

The 32% probability represents the market's assessment that one specific player (currently the favorite) will win the 2026 Women's French Open. This level reflects uncertainty about whether the leading contender can maintain form through the tournament or if competitors will peak at the right time. The main factors driving the probability are the favorite's recent match results, injury status, and head-to-head records against other top seeds. The tournament itself, scheduled for late May/early June 2026, will directly resolve this outcome; until then, probabilities will shift based on pre-tournament performance at smaller events and any reported fitness issues among top players.

• ›Current favorite's win rate and ranking points in 2026 clay-court season leading into Roland Garros
• ›Injury reports or withdrawals among the top 5 seeded players in the weeks before the tournament
• ›Historical performance data: how often has the pre-tournament favorite won the Women's French Open in recent years
• ›Head-to-head records between the current market leader and other top contenders at clay-court events
• ›Seeding and draw structure once the official bracket is released, typically one week before play begins

What moved the line

• May 6Iga Świątek↑6pp16→22¢ · Polymarket
• May 6Coco Gauff↑3pp9→12¢ · Polymarket

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

How we compute these odds