Will Jessica Pegula win the WTA Rome
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 13% across 6 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
13%
6 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$571
6 contracts
Closes
Jun 11, 2026
33 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
6 clusters across 6 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the WTA Rome
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the WTA Rome?: Aryna Sabalenka
KXWTA-26ROME-SAB
Cluster 2
Will Elena Rybakina win the WTA Rome
Will Elena Rybakina win the WTA Rome?: Elena Rybakina
KXWTA-26ROME-RYB
Cluster 3
Will Coco Gauff win the WTA Rome
Will Coco Gauff win the WTA Rome?: Coco Gauff
KXWTA-26ROME-GAU
Cluster 4
Will Mirra Andreeva win the WTA Rome
Will Mirra Andreeva win the WTA Rome?: Mirra Andreeva
KXWTA-26ROME-AND
Cluster 5
Will Iga Swiatek win the WTA Rome
Will Iga Swiatek win the WTA Rome?: Iga Swiatek
KXWTA-26ROME-SWI
Cluster 6
Will Leylah Annie Fernandez win the WTA Rome
Will Leylah Annie Fernandez win the WTA Rome?: Leylah Annie Fernandez
KXWTA-26ROME-FER
Recently closed in general
- What will Donald Trump say during CNBClast 95% · 1d
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: D Senate, R Houselast 3% · 1d
- Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Aug 2026last 85% · 1d
- What will any participating candidate say during South Carolina GOP gubernatorial debatenolast 7% · 1d
- FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Marketslast 74% · 2d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 10 min ago.