Will Mirra Andreeva win the Mirra Andreeva vs Maja Chwalinska match by a set score of 2-0

30-day trend

Analysis

This probability represents the likelihood that Mirra Andreeva will defeat Maja Chwalinska by winning the first two sets without dropping a set. The 25% estimate suggests markets view this as a meaningful possibility but not the most likely outcome—traders assign roughly 57% to an Andreeva 2-0 victory based on contract pricing, with alternative scenarios like Chwalinska winning 2-1 (14%) or Andreeva winning 2-1 (21%) splitting the remaining probability. The probability reflects relative playing strength, recent form, and head-to-head history between the two players. A straight-sets win requires dominant performance rather than a competitive three-set match, making this outcome more specific than simply picking a winner. The match itself will resolve all uncertainty once played.

• ›Recent ATP/WTA rankings and seeding differential between Andreeva and Chwalinska establish baseline competitive gaps
• ›Head-to-head record and performance patterns in previous meetings, if any, directly indicate stylistic matchups
• ›Surface type and venue conditions of the scheduled match (hard court, clay, grass) favor different playing styles and influence set-win probabilities
• ›Recent form and injury status of both players in the weeks leading up to the match affect confidence in dominant performance
• ›Contractual pricing shows markets assign 57% to the 2-0 outcome specifically, implying 43% probability that the match goes to at least three sets regardless of winner

What moved the line

• Jun 5Mirra Andreeva wins 2-0↑16pp41→57¢ · Kalshi
• Jun 5Maja Chwalinska wins 2-1↑4pp10→14¢ · Kalshi
• Jun 5Mirra Andreeva wins 2-1↑3pp18→21¢ · Kalshi

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

How we compute these odds