Will Jenny Costa Honeycutt be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?

Jenny Costa Honeycutt's odds at 3¢ reflect extremely low market conviction, with zero 24-hour volume despite $9,202.64 in open interest suggesting this is a niche position held by a small number of traders. The astronomical implied yield of 22,946% on a "Yes" resolution indicates the market is pricing in minimal probability, though the modest 2¢ price increase over seven days and neutral regime score suggest no recent catalyst has shifted expectations. With only 51 days until the June 9 primary and a Cliff Risk Index of 32, the market faces meaningful uncertainty about nomination dynamics, but the illiquid spread and zero daily volume make this contract difficult to trade meaningfully.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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