Will Noni Madueke be in the England World Cup final squad?

60¢mid
Bid/Ask 55/64¢·Spread 9¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Jun 18, 2026·60d remaining
KXWCSQUAD-26ENG-NMAD

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price potentially unreliable despite the theoretical 490.9% implied yield on a Yes resolution. The 8¢ spread is unusually wide relative to the price level, and the neutral regime with a Cliff Risk Index of 1 suggests minimal predictive confidence in either direction. With 61 days until expiry and the 2026 World Cup squad selection likely occurring within this window, this market may face imminent resolution risk, making it unsuitable for position-building without significant liquidity improvements.

Resolution rules

If Noni Madueke is selected for the final squad for the England national team for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 497.9%
IY (No) 743.7%
Adj IY 311%
CRI 1
Overround 24.1%
LAS 0.16
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)497.9%
IY (No)743.7%
Adj IY311%
CRI1
Overround24.1%
LAS0.16

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
9¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 4:28:01 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/19/2026, 4:23:21 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXWCSQUAD-26ENG-NMAD yes 100

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