Will Leon Edwards become UFC champion in 2026?
0x3fac702c85504b69a0d3bb1dd974053d9e1017c924df0530032977b45826450c · closes Dec 31, 2026 · 261 days remaining
Price
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 525.2% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 37.1% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 4 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | 7.7% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | — | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 1540% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 10.14 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 3.7/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 525% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.
7-Day History
440 indicator snapshots · 0 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to trade
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Or with the sf CLI: sf trade 0x3fac702c85504b69a0d3bb1dd974053d9e1017c924df0530032977b45826450c yes 100