Will Houston win at least 90 games this season?
KXMLBWINS-HOU-26-T90 · closes Nov 8, 2026 · 209 days remaining
Price
Last
32¢
Bid
26¢
Ask
29¢
Spread
3¢
24h Volume
$0
Open Interest
$427
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 498.0% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 61.5% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 3 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | 2.6% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | 0.12 | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 5267% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 5.70 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 1.1/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 441% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
7-Day History
108 indicator snapshots · 2 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 1:35:03 PM
About this market
If Houston has 90+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXMLBWINS-HOU-26-T90 yes 100