Will Frederik Andersen win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?

This market shows a significant cross-venue arbitrage opportunity, with Kalshi pricing Andersen's Vezina chances at 8¢ versus 0¢ on Polymarket—an 8-cent gap that suggests either mispricing or liquidity constraints on one platform. The 0¢ price on Polymarket is notable given the $886k open interest, indicating traders are holding positions despite zero current market price, which is unusual and suggests potential technical issues or extreme bearishness. With zero 24-hour volume and nearly 19 months until expiry (6/30/2026), this market lacks liquidity for meaningful price discovery, making the cross-venue discrepancy difficult to arbitrage efficiently.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Vezina Trophy. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Vezina Trophy, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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