Will Ilya Sorokin win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?

Sorokin's Vezina odds have collapsed dramatically, dropping 23¢ to 4¢ over seven days, suggesting either a significant injury, performance decline, or shift in market sentiment regarding his 2025–26 prospects. The 12,242% implied yield on "Yes" reflects extreme undervaluation risk, but the modest $83k daily volume and thin $1.1M open interest indicate low liquidity that could amplify volatility if new information emerges. With 72 days to market close and a Cliff Risk Index of 24, this represents a speculative contrarian opportunity, though the sharp recent selloff warrants caution about what fundamental catalyst drove the price action.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Vezina Trophy. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Vezina Trophy, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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