Will Joe Flacco start Week 1 for the Chiefs in 2026?
0x5d198361dcd3318f0fbe0109e0add681e03f9a56c3d486682b4c809ba427218f · closes Sep 10, 2026 · 149 days remaining
Price
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 1192.3% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 50.0% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 5 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | 0.4% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | 3.82 | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 4408% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 20.48 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 7.5/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 0% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
7-Day History
673 indicator snapshots · 4 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
About this market
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is the starting quarterback for the Kansas City Chiefs in their Week 1 regular season game of the 2026-2027 NFL season. If the Chiefs do not name a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game. If multiple players take the same number of snaps on the Chiefs’ first offensive drive, the market will resolve to the player who took the first snap at quarterback. This market may not resolve before the start of the Chiefs’ Week 1 regular season game. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the NFL (NFL.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to trade
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Or with the sf CLI: sf trade 0x5d198361dcd3318f0fbe0109e0add681e03f9a56c3d486682b4c809ba427218f yes 100