Will Joseph Woll win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?

0¢mid
Bid/Ask 0/0¢·Spread 0¢·Vol $40.01·OI $958.254·Closes Jun 30, 2026
0xc3df1e320a89ad9b2ac5c648787107b9c7a6ea255a6f4439da30bb03695a12b1
7-day price325 snapshots · 6 regime
2¢0¢Apr 15Apr 18

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

Joseph Woll's Vezina chances are priced at zero on Polymarket but trading at 4¢ on Kalshi, representing a notable 4-cent cross-venue arbitrage gap that suggests either underpricing on Polymarket or overpricing on Kalshi. The market shows minimal liquidity with just $40 in 24-hour volume and $1,890 open interest, making the zero price potentially unreliable given thin trading conditions. The sharp 2¢ decline over seven days combined with the long time horizon until June 2026 expiry indicates low conviction in Woll's candidacy, though the Kalshi pricing suggests some traders see non-zero probability worth capturing.

Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 4¢-4¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.95IY 12165.8%Close-time delta 14h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Vezina Trophy. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Vezina Trophy, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.432
Spread
0¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 2:02:27 PM
Observability mediumEvent type sports

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xc3df1e320a89ad9b2ac5c648787107b9c7a6ea255a6f4439da30bb03695a12b1 yes 100

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