Will Joseph Woll win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?
Analysis
AI-generated · updated dailyJoseph Woll's Vezina chances are priced at zero on Polymarket but trading at 4¢ on Kalshi, representing a notable 4-cent cross-venue arbitrage gap that suggests either underpricing on Polymarket or overpricing on Kalshi. The market shows minimal liquidity with just $40 in 24-hour volume and $1,890 open interest, making the zero price potentially unreliable given thin trading conditions. The sharp 2¢ decline over seven days combined with the long time horizon until June 2026 expiry indicates low conviction in Woll's candidacy, though the Kalshi pricing suggests some traders see non-zero probability worth capturing.
Also on kalshi at 4¢(Δ -4¢)
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Vezina Trophy. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Vezina Trophy, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Regime
Trade
sf trade 0xc3df1e320a89ad9b2ac5c648787107b9c7a6ea255a6f4439da30bb03695a12b1 yes 100