Will Thatcher Demko win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?

This market shows a stark 14-cent cross-venue arbitrage gap, with Polymarket pricing Demko at 0% implied probability while Kalshi values him at 14%, suggesting significant disagreement on the Vancouver Canucks goaltender's Vezina chances. The zero price on Polymarket combined with $897.906 in open interest but zero 24-hour volume indicates the market may be inactive or illiquid despite the open interest figure, raising questions about actual tradability at the listed price. With over 18 months until the June 30, 2026 expiration, the extreme underpricing relative to Kalshi warrants investigation into whether this represents genuine market inefficiency or a data anomaly.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Vezina Trophy. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Vezina Trophy, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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