Will Salvador Perez win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award?

40¢
Bid/Ask /79¢·Spread 79¢·Vol $0·OI $1,069.968·Closes Dec 19, 2026·244d remaining
0xdfaa6ef4de91429e9675b89cef63fd02658cf7601fdaba4dab68c76294f868c9
7-day price16 snapshots · 6 regime
40¢20¢Apr 15Apr 18

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $1.07M open interest, reflected in the massive 79¢ bid-ask spread and an unusually high 1522% realized volatility. The 40¢ price has doubled from 20¢ over seven days, suggesting either new information about Perez's 2026 prospects or thin-market price discovery, though the neutral regime score indicates no clear directional conviction. With 244 days to expiration and a 225% annualized yield on the yes side, this appears to be a speculative position rather than an actively traded market, warranting caution around execution risk.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 224.7%
IY (No) 99.9%
Adj IY 225%
CRI 2
RV 1522%
VR 9.94
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)224.7%
IY (No)99.9%
Adj IY225%
CRI2
RV1522%
VR9.94
IAR2.8/h
Overround8.7%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
79¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 8:27:39 AM
Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 8:23:32 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xdfaa6ef4de91429e9675b89cef63fd02658cf7601fdaba4dab68c76294f868c9 yes 100

Related concepts