Will Giancarlo Stanton win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award?

44¢
Bid/Ask /88¢·Spread 88¢·Vol $0·OI $1,068.1·Closes Dec 19, 2026·244d remaining
0xeb3c55a987d4ad4f5f3a8509105d2760b9128b1b1da8e4443bfd8e96e67dd88e
7-day price89 snapshots · 6 regime
44¢30¢Apr 13Apr 18

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 88¢ spread despite modest $1,068 open interest, suggesting very few active traders are pricing Stanton's 44¢ position. The 191% risk-adjusted implied yield and extraordinarily high 1253% realized volatility indicate this is a highly speculative, thinly-traded contract where price discovery is unreliable and execution risk is substantial. With 244 days to expiration and a neutral regime, the market appears dormant—the negligible 1¢ price movement over seven days and 3.6 info arrivals per hour suggest minimal new information is flowing in to move this contract.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 190.7%
IY (No) 117.7%
Adj IY 191%
CRI 1
RV 1253%
VR 8.19
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)190.7%
IY (No)117.7%
Adj IY191%
CRI1
RV1253%
VR8.19
IAR3.6/h
Overround8.7%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
88¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 8:28:03 AM
Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 8:23:32 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xeb3c55a987d4ad4f5f3a8509105d2760b9128b1b1da8e4443bfd8e96e67dd88e yes 100

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