UCAM Murcia vs BC Andorra Winner?

99¢
Bid/Ask 99/100¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $28,199.3·OI $19,320.2·Closes Apr 18, 2026·14d remaining
KXACBGAME-26APR181300MURAND-MUR
7-day price155 snapshots · 4 regime
99¢2¢Apr 15Apr 18

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market exhibits severe illiquidity dysfunction with zero volume and open interest despite an extreme 85¢ spread and astronomical 30,842% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 0¢ price is likely a stale or erroneous quote rather than genuine market consensus. The 4,682% realized volatility and cliff risk index of 13 indicate extreme price instability, while the market's 16-day countdown to expiry combined with zero trading activity raises questions about whether this contract will ever achieve meaningful price discovery. The original game date of April 18, 2026 has apparently already passed relative to the current May 2 close date, which may explain the complete market abandonment and warrants verification of the actual resolution status.

Resolution rules

If UCAM Murcia wins the UCAM Murcia vs BC Andorra professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 499.4%
IY (No) 13765.2%
Adj IY 12127%
CRI 5
RV 3054%
VR 6.18
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)499.4%
IY (No)13765.2%
Adj IY12127%
CRI5
RV3054%
VR6.18
IAR1.8/h
LAS0.12

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/18/2026, 7:14:58 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/18/2026, 6:53:21 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXACBGAME-26APR181300MURAND-MUR yes 100

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