Westerlo vs Genk Winner?

1¢

Bid/Ask 0/1¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $7,839.58·OI $6,530.58·Closes May 2, 2026·14d remaining

KXBELGIANPLGAME-26APR18WESGEN-WES

7-day price40 snapshots · 1 regime

Resolution rules

If Westerlo wins the Westerlo vs Genk professional Belgian Pro League soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 7451.2%

IY (No) 919.8%

Adj IY 7451%

CRI 3

RV 262%

VR 0.37

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	7451.2%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	919.8%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	7451%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	3	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	262%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	0.37	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.4/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	-0.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/18/2026, 6:00:43 PM

Indicators computed 4/18/2026, 5:38:21 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXBELGIANPLGAME-26APR18WESGEN-WES yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →