Will Your Favorite Toy have at least 30,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Your Favorite Toy?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and zero open interest, making the 0¢ price potentially unreliable despite the astronomical 9,299% risk-adjusted implied yield on the No side. The 14¢ spread is unusually wide relative to the price level, and the Cliff Risk Index of 6 suggests significant uncertainty around the resolution criteria or release timing with only 12 days to expiry. The implied probability of 0% for the Foo Fighters' "Your Favorite Toy" to achieve 30,000 combined sales activity appears disconnected from typical new release performance, warranting caution about whether this market has sufficient liquidity or clarity to trade meaningfully.

Resolution rules

If Your Favorite Toy by Foo Fighters has at least 30,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Your Favorite Toy, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

Trade