Will Bernie Sanders endorse Antonio Delgado in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election before Nov 3, 2026?

5¢
Bid/Ask 5/6¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $1,040·Closes Nov 3, 2026·198d remaining
KXBERNIEENDORSE-26NOV03-ADEL

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $1,040 open interest, suggesting the 5¢ price may not reflect genuine consensus but rather stale positioning. The astronomical 3,496% implied yield on the Yes side indicates severe mispricing or reflects genuine skepticism that Sanders would endorse Delgado specifically, though the modest 1¢ spread hints at limited market maker confidence in either direction. With nearly 200 days to expiry and a cliff risk index of 19, this appears to be a niche political prediction with minimal trading activity that could experience sharp repricing if either candidate gains momentum or Sanders signals his endorsement intentions.

Resolution rules

If Bernie Sanders publicly endorses Antonio Delgado in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 3495.8%
IY (No) 9.7%
Adj IY 1748%
CRI 19
Overround 3.5%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)3495.8%
IY (No)9.7%
Adj IY1748%
CRI19
Overround3.5%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 6:14:37 AM
Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 5:53:19 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXBERNIEENDORSE-26NOV03-ADEL yes 100

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