Will Bernie Sanders endorse Antonio Delgado in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election before Nov 3, 2026?
Analysis
AI-generated · updated dailyThis market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $1,040 open interest, suggesting the 5¢ price may not reflect genuine consensus but rather stale positioning. The astronomical 3,496% implied yield on the Yes side indicates severe mispricing or reflects genuine skepticism that Sanders would endorse Delgado specifically, though the modest 1¢ spread hints at limited market maker confidence in either direction. With nearly 200 days to expiry and a cliff risk index of 19, this appears to be a niche political prediction with minimal trading activity that could experience sharp repricing if either candidate gains momentum or Sanders signals his endorsement intentions.
Resolution rules
If Bernie Sanders publicly endorses Antonio Delgado in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXBERNIEENDORSE-26NOV03-ADEL yes 100