Will Bernie Sanders endorse Josh Turek in Iowa Senate Race before Nov 3, 2026?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $737 open interest, making the 23¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The 838% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic sign of low-liquidity mispricing rather than genuine opportunity, while the 7¢ spread represents a substantial 30% bid-ask gap. With 198 days to expiration and minimal price movement (17¢ to 18¢ over seven days), this appears to be a niche political prediction with insufficient market depth to confidently assess true probability.

Resolution rules

If Bernie Sanders publicly endorses Josh Turek in the 2026 United States Senate election in Iowa before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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