Will Bernie Sanders endorse Josh Turek in Iowa Senate Race before Nov 3, 2026?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $737 open interest, making the 830.9% implied yield on the Yes side potentially misleading rather than actionable. The 7-cent spread represents a 30% bid-ask gap on a contract trading at just 23 cents, suggesting significant uncertainty about fair value and limited market depth for position entry or exit. With 200 days to expiry and a neutral regime score, the modest upward price movement from 17¢ to 18¢ over seven days appears inconsequential given the illiquidity constraints.

Resolution rules

If Bernie Sanders publicly endorses Josh Turek in the 2026 United States Senate election in Iowa before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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