How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?
Prediction markets currently give a 38% probability that How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?. This contract trades at 38¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2027.
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38¢Bid/Ask 30/38¢·Spread 8¢·Vol $160.61·OI $1,177.68·Closes Jan 1, 2027·246d remaining
KXFERT-26-1300
7-day price112 snapshots · 10 regime
46¢30¢ current
Apr 175¢Apr 30
Resolution rules
If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $1300 after Issuance and before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
8¢
Computed
4/30/2026, 10:24:09 AM
Observability lowEvent type financial
Indicators computed 4/30/2026, 10:23:45 AM
Trade
View on kalshi →
sf trade KXFERT-26-1300 yes 100