How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?
Prediction markets currently give a 28% probability that How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?. This contract trades at 28¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2027.
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28¢Bid/Ask 22/29¢·Spread 7¢·Vol $294·OI $677.33·Closes Jan 1, 2027·246d remaining
KXFERT-26-1500
7-day price33 snapshots · 9 regime
25¢22¢ current
Apr 202¢Apr 30
Resolution rules
If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $1500 after Issuance and before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
7¢
Computed
4/30/2026, 10:24:10 AM
Observability lowEvent type financial
Indicators computed 4/30/2026, 10:23:45 AM
Trade
View on kalshi →
sf trade KXFERT-26-1500 yes 100