Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $2.6 on Apr 30?

The market is pricing in an extremely high probability (99%) that H200 compute pricing will exceed $2.6/hour by April 30, 2026, with the Yes contract trading at 99¢ and showing dramatic recent momentum—climbing 41¢ over seven days. The implied yield on a No position (20,544%) is extraordinarily elevated relative to the Yes yield (458.7%), suggesting severe mispricing or that traders view a sub-$2.6 outcome as virtually impossible despite only 12 days to expiration. With just $255 in open interest and a 12¢ spread, liquidity is thin, making the extreme pricing potentially unreliable and vulnerable to sharp reversals if new information emerges about H200 availability or pricing trends.

Resolution rules

If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $2.6 on Apr 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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