Alaves at Real Madrid: Totals

This market exhibits severe illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero volume and open interest despite an 8¢ spread, suggesting it may be inactive or abandoned ahead of its May 5 expiry. The astronomical 7793% implied yield on the "No" side (implying only 0.13% probability of under 1.5 goals) is inconsistent with typical soccer match scoring patterns and likely reflects a stale or erroneous quote rather than genuine market sentiment. The 72¢ to 80¢ price movement over seven days combined with extreme realized volatility of 8031% signals either data anomalies or a market experiencing resolution uncertainty, warranting caution before any position entry.

Resolution rules

If Alaves and Real Madrid collectively score more than 1.5 total goals in the Real Madrid vs Alaves professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

Trade