Will Jesse Pollak be on UpOnly Podcast before Jan 2027?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $28 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 30¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The 498% implied yield on the Yes side is a red flag typical of thin markets where small positions can distort pricing, and the 6¢ spread is substantial relative to the contract value. With 260 days to expiry and a neutral regime, the market lacks conviction either way, but the lack of trading activity suggests this is a niche prediction with minimal market interest rather than a genuine opportunity.

Resolution rules

If Jesse Pollak is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

Trade