Will Brent Rooker lead Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?

3¢
Bid/Ask 0/4¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $1,044·Closes Oct 22, 2026·188d remaining
KXLEADERMLBRBI-26-BROO

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $1,044 open interest, and the 4¢ spread reflects pricing uncertainty around a highly unlikely outcome. The 3¢ price implies only a 3% probability that Rooker leads MLB in RBIs—a reasonable baseline given he'd need to significantly outperform his career trajectory—though the asymmetric implied yields (6262% on Yes vs. 6% on No) suggest the market may be mispriced due to thin liquidity. The cliff risk index of 32 and recent price doubling from 1¢ to 3¢ over seven days warrant caution, as low-volume markets can experience sharp moves on minimal trading activity.

Resolution rules

If Brent Rooker leads Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 6278.4%
IY (No) 6.0%
Adj IY 3139%
CRI 32
Overround 0.6%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)6278.4%
IY (No)6.0%
Adj IY3139%
CRI32
Overround0.6%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/17/2026, 2:51:18 PM
Indicators computed 4/17/2026, 2:38:52 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXLEADERMLBRBI-26-BROO yes 100

Related concepts