Will Brice Turang lead Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?

4¢
Bid/Ask 0/4¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $201·Closes Oct 22, 2026·188d remaining
KXLEADERMLBRBI-26-BTUR

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $201 open interest, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable. The implied yield of 4660% on the Yes side is extraordinarily high—reflecting either severe mispricing or the market's assessment that Turang (a young shortstop with limited track record) has virtually no chance of leading MLB in RBIs, a feat typically reserved for established sluggers. The recent price movement from 1¢ to 4¢ over seven days suggests minimal trading activity rather than meaningful conviction, and with 188 days to expiry, this remains a speculative position with high cliff risk (24).

Resolution rules

If Brice Turang leads Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4660.2%
IY (No) 8.1%
Adj IY 2330%
CRI 24
Overround 0.6%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)4660.2%
IY (No)8.1%
Adj IY2330%
CRI24
Overround0.6%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/17/2026, 2:50:05 PM
Indicators computed 4/17/2026, 2:38:52 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXLEADERMLBRBI-26-BTUR yes 100

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