Will José Altuve lead Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?

4¢
Bid/Ask 0/4¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $200·Closes Oct 22, 2026·188d remaining
KXLEADERMLBRBI-26-JALT

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite a $200 open interest position, suggesting the 4¢ price may not reflect genuine market consensus but rather a thin, potentially stale quote. The 4660% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic indicator of deep out-of-the-money pricing on a low-probability event, though Altuve's age (35 in 2026) and declining offensive production make leading MLB in RBIs genuinely unlikely. The sharp 3¢ price movement over seven days combined with minimal liquidity and a 24 cliff risk index warrants caution—this contract may experience significant repricing if any volume materializes.

Resolution rules

If José Altuve leads Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4660.2%
IY (No) 8.1%
Adj IY 2330%
CRI 24
Overround 0.6%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)4660.2%
IY (No)8.1%
Adj IY2330%
CRI24
Overround0.6%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/17/2026, 2:46:56 PM
Indicators computed 4/17/2026, 2:38:52 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXLEADERMLBRBI-26-JALT yes 100

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