Will Julio Rodríguez lead Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?

7¢

Bid/Ask 0/6¢·Spread 6¢·Vol $0·OI $868·Closes Oct 22, 2026·188d remaining

KXLEADERMLBRBI-26-JROD

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite an unusually high implied yield of 2,580% on the Yes side, suggesting the 7¢ price may be artificially depressed by minimal trading activity and the $868 open interest. The sharp 7-day price movement from 1¢ to 7¢ indicates recent volatility, though the wide 6¢ spread and neutral regime score suggest uncertainty about fair value. With 188 days to expiry and a moderate Cliff Risk Index of 13, this appears to be a thin, speculative position rather than a liquid betting market.

Resolution rules

If Julio Rodríguez leads Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2579.8%

IY (No) 14.6%

Adj IY 1290%

CRI 13

Overround 0.6%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	2579.8%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	14.6%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	1290%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	13	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.6%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

6¢

Computed

4/17/2026, 2:47:19 PM

Indicators computed 4/17/2026, 2:38:52 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXLEADERMLBRBI-26-JROD yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →