Will Jacob Wilson lead Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?

4¢

Bid/Ask 0/4¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $1·Closes Oct 22, 2026·188d remaining

KXLEADERMLBRBI-26-JWIL

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4644.8% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable. The 4¢ price reflects a highly unlikely outcome—Jacob Wilson leading MLB in RBIs would be a historic achievement requiring him to be an elite player, yet the market's near-zero liquidity suggests minimal conviction from traders on either side. With 189 days to expiry and a tight 4¢ spread, this appears to be a speculative micro-market with negligible practical trading opportunity.

Resolution rules

If Jacob Wilson leads Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4660.2%

IY (No) 8.1%

Adj IY 2330%

CRI 24

Overround 0.6%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	4660.2%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	8.1%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	2330%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	24	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.6%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

4¢

Computed

4/17/2026, 2:48:34 PM

Indicators computed 4/17/2026, 2:38:52 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXLEADERMLBRBI-26-JWIL yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →