Will Ketel Marte lead Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?

This market is essentially illiquid with only $1 in open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 2¢ price potentially unreliable as a true probability estimate. The 4¢ spread is extremely wide relative to the contract value, suggesting minimal market depth and high transaction costs for any potential trader. At 2% implied probability, the market is pricing Marte as a significant longshot to lead MLB in RBIs—a reasonable assessment given he'd need to substantially outperform typical league leaders who accumulate 120+ RBIs annually—though the lack of trading activity means this price may not reflect genuine consensus.

Resolution rules

If Ketel Marte leads Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Regime

Trade