Will Maikel Garcia lead Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?

4¢
Bid/Ask 0/4¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $2·Closes Oct 22, 2026·188d remaining
KXLEADERMLBRBI-26-MGAR

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market exhibits extreme illiquidity with only $2 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The 4644.8% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic sign of a thin market where even minimal positions create outsized percentage returns, though the actual dollar gains would be negligible given the microscopic liquidity. Garcia leading MLB in RBIs is a genuinely low-probability outcome for any individual player (typically requiring 130+ RBIs), so the 4% price may be reasonable on fundamentals, but traders should avoid this market unless seeking micro-stakes exposure or liquidity conditions improve substantially before the October 2026 expiry.

Resolution rules

If Maikel Garcia leads Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4660.2%
IY (No) 8.1%
Adj IY 2330%
CRI 24
Overround 0.6%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)4660.2%
IY (No)8.1%
Adj IY2330%
CRI24
Overround0.6%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/17/2026, 2:49:58 PM
Indicators computed 4/17/2026, 2:38:52 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXLEADERMLBRBI-26-MGAR yes 100

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