Will Nico Hoerner lead Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?

4¢
Bid/Ask 0/4¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $1·Closes Oct 22, 2026·188d remaining
KXLEADERMLBRBI-26-NHOR

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable. The 4660% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic sign of a thin market where even minimal position sizing creates outsized percentage returns, though the Cliff Risk Index of 24 suggests moderate execution risk. Hoerner leading MLB in RBIs is a genuine long shot given he's a mid-tier offensive player for the Cubs, making the 4% probability reasonable on fundamentals, but the lack of trading activity means this contract is essentially illiquid and should be approached cautiously.

Resolution rules

If Nico Hoerner leads Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4660.2%
IY (No) 8.1%
Adj IY 2330%
CRI 24
Overround 0.6%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)4660.2%
IY (No)8.1%
Adj IY2330%
CRI24
Overround0.6%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/17/2026, 2:44:38 PM
Indicators computed 4/17/2026, 2:38:52 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXLEADERMLBRBI-26-NHOR yes 100

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