Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. lead Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?

This market shows extremely low liquidity with zero 24-hour volume and just $173 open interest, making the 7¢ bid-ask spread quite wide relative to the 9¢ mid-price. The sharp price decline from 3¢ to 1¢ over seven days suggests deteriorating conviction in Guerrero Jr.'s chances, though the current 9¢ quote may reflect a rebound or stale pricing given the lack of recent trading activity. With nearly two years until expiration, the low probability reflects the difficulty of leading MLB in RBIs—Guerrero Jr. would need to significantly outpace elite sluggers and maintain elite health and playing time through 2026.

Resolution rules

If Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

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