Will Kayden McDonald be a 1st round draft pick in 2026?
KXNFLDRAFTTOP-26-R1-KMCD · closes May 3, 2026 · 20 days remaining
Price
Last
63¢
Bid
56¢
Ask
61¢
Spread
5¢
24h Volume
$7
Open Interest
$1,166
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 1448.7% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 2346.7% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 1 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | 23.1% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | — | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | — | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | — | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | — | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 1173% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.
7-Day History
43 indicator snapshots · 3 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.568
Label
neutral
Spread
5¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 7:07:27 PM
About this market
If Kayden McDonald is drafted in the 1st round in the 2026 Pro Football draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
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Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXNFLDRAFTTOP-26-R1-KMCD yes 100