Will Las Vegas draft a Linebacker first?
1¢
Bid/Ask 0/29¢·Spread 29¢·Vol $0·OI $50·Closes May 3, 2026
KXNFLTEAM1POS-26LV-LB
Analysis
AI-generated · updated dailyThis market is pricing an extremely unlikely outcome at just 1¢, implying Las Vegas has only a 1% chance of selecting a linebacker first overall—a reasonable assessment given teams typically prioritize edge rushers, quarterbacks, or offensive linemen with top picks. The $50 open interest and $0 24-hour volume indicate minimal liquidity, while the 29¢ spread is notably wide relative to the 1¢ price, suggesting thin order books and potential difficulty executing trades. With over a year until the May 2026 expiration, this appears to be a niche contrarian bet with little market activity.
Resolution rules
If Las Vegas select any Linebacker with their 1st pick in the 2026 Pro Football Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
29¢
Computed
4/17/2026, 12:19:13 PM
Observability mediumEvent type sports
Trade
View on kalshi →
sf trade KXNFLTEAM1POS-26LV-LB yes 100