Will San Francisco draft a Running Back / Fullback first?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $5 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 25¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The 24¢ bid-ask spread is exceptionally wide relative to the contract value, and the sharp 50% price decline over seven days (2¢ to 1¢) suggests either declining conviction or minimal trading activity driving the movement. Given that teams rarely prioritize running backs in the first round and San Francisco's recent draft history emphasizes defense and skill positions, the 25% implied probability appears reasonable, but the illiquid market structure makes this unsuitable for meaningful position-taking.

Resolution rules

If San Francisco select any Running Back / Fullback with their 1st pick in the 2026 Pro Football Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.

Regime

Trade