Will Fluxo W7M win the Fluxo W7M vs. LOS R6 match?

68¢
Bid/Ask 69/73¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $90.92·OI $111·Closes May 3, 2026·14d remaining
KXR6GAME-26APR191200FLULOS-FLU
7-day price15 snapshots · 1 regime
89¢3¢Apr 19Apr 19

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $73 open interest and $25 daily volume, making the 92¢ price potentially unreliable despite the modest 6¢ spread. The astronomical realized volatility of 47,237% and a dramatic 7-day price swing from 3¢ to 89¢ suggest either significant new information arrived or the thin liquidity amplified normal price movements, with the "No" side offering a nonsensical 13,734% implied yield that reflects the market's dysfunction. With 14 days to the originally scheduled April 19 match date, traders should be cautious about the resolution mechanics given the match may have already occurred or been postponed.

Resolution rules

If Fluxo W7M wins the South America League Kickoff 2026: Fluxo W7M vs. LOS R6 match originally scheduled for Apr 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 654.5%
IY (No) 10472.0%
Adj IY 9687%
CRI 4
RV 46965%
VR 29.17
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)654.5%
IY (No)10472.0%
Adj IY9687%
CRI4
RV46965%
VR29.17
IAR1.8/h
LAS0.07

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 5:30:18 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/19/2026, 5:23:14 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXR6GAME-26APR191200FLULOS-FLU yes 100

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