Anaheim vs Edmonton: Total Goals

This market shows extreme mispricing with the No side offering a staggering 7,645% implied yield versus just 682% for Yes, despite the 82¢ price suggesting high probability of over 4.5 goals. The massive volatility (1,768% realized) and thin liquidity ($139 open interest with a 5¢ spread) indicate this is likely a low-volume, illiquid contract where the pricing reflects minimal trading activity rather than genuine market consensus. With 16 days to expiry and the game originally scheduled for April 20, there's cliff risk (index of 3) around the actual event date, making this a speculative position with significant execution uncertainty.

Resolution rules

If over 4.5 total combined goals are scored in the Anaheim vs Edmonton professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

Trade