LeBron James: Double Double

This market exhibits extreme mispricing with LeBron James priced at 99¢ despite the underlying game being scheduled for April 18, 2026—over two weeks before the May 3 close date, suggesting the contract may have already resolved or the game has been played. The 13,754% implied yield on the "No" side and 2,215% realized volatility indicate severe dislocations, while the 36¢ to 99¢ seven-day price movement suggests either late information arrival or a technical issue with market data. With only $8,918.74 in open interest and a 1¢ spread, liquidity is thin enough that the extreme pricing may reflect illiquidity rather than genuine probability assessment, warranting verification of the game's actual status before trading.

Resolution rules

If LeBron James records a Double Double in the Houston at Los Angeles L professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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