Will Ayanna Pressley be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $13.9K open interest, suggesting the position is largely trapped. The 8,757% implied yield on the "Yes" side is extraordinarily high and likely reflects the distressed pricing of an illiquid position rather than genuine probability assessment, particularly given Pressley's current lack of public signals about a 2026 Senate run. With 135 days to resolution and a neutral regime score, the 3¢ price appears to be a stale equilibrium with minimal recent trading activity (flat 7-day movement).

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Regime

Trade