Will Ha-Seong Kim win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?

35¢
Bid/Ask /70¢·Spread 70¢·Vol $0·OI $1,045.769·Closes Dec 19, 2026·244d remaining
0xff78b08b56067f7de5fb91bfe5f53fb4c862a8b3cc58fd38326204b32a962f23
7-day price374 snapshots · 9 regime
44¢27¢Apr 13Apr 19

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $1.05M open interest, and the 70¢ spread indicates significant uncertainty between buyers and sellers. Kim's probability has declined sharply from 44¢ to 35¢ over seven days, though the 278% implied yield on the yes side and exceptionally high realized volatility (689%) suggest the market may be overreacting to recent performance data or injury concerns. With 244 days until expiration and a neutral regime, this appears to be a thin, speculative position where the wide bid-ask spread creates substantial execution risk for any trader looking to enter or exit.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Platinum Glove award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 278.2%
IY (No) 80.7%
Adj IY 278%
CRI 2
RV 689%
VR 5.11
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)278.2%
IY (No)80.7%
Adj IY278%
CRI2
RV689%
VR5.11
IAR1.0/h
Overround5.5%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
70¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 7:57:31 AM
Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 7:53:36 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xff78b08b56067f7de5fb91bfe5f53fb4c862a8b3cc58fd38326204b32a962f23 yes 100

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