Will Ke'Bryan Hayes win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?

35¢
Bid/Ask /70¢·Spread 70¢·Vol $0·OI $1,045.56·Closes Dec 19, 2026·244d remaining
0x0090d1db3dcacf4ba17335ee083e9d641850b28d9e40fa76b3710fa6d068fd94
7-day price272 snapshots · 8 regime
44¢27¢Apr 12Apr 19

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extremely thin liquidity with only $1,045.56 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 35¢ price potentially unreliable for gauging true market sentiment. The 70¢ spread is notably wide relative to the contract value, and the 278% implied yield on the Yes side suggests either significant mispricing or that traders are demanding substantial compensation for the illiquidity risk. With 244 days to expiration and a realized volatility of 709%, this appears to be a speculative, low-conviction market where Hayes' actual chances of winning the award may differ materially from the quoted price.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Platinum Glove award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 278.2%
IY (No) 80.7%
Adj IY 278%
CRI 2
RV 709%
VR 5.26
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)278.2%
IY (No)80.7%
Adj IY278%
CRI2
RV709%
VR5.26
IAR1.0/h
Overround5.5%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Computed
4/19/2026, 7:47:01 AM
Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 7:38:31 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x0090d1db3dcacf4ba17335ee083e9d641850b28d9e40fa76b3710fa6d068fd94 yes 100

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