Who will win Jack Adams Award?

4¢

Bid/Ask 0/1¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $31·Closes Jun 30, 2026·72d remaining

KXNHLADAMS-26-AFOO

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $31 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The astronomical implied yield of 12,123.7% on the Yes side signals either severe mispricing or that the $31 position is too small to reflect true market consensus, especially given Adam Foote's retirement status (he last coached in 2011). The 1¢ spread and unavailable Polymarket comparison price further suggest this is a thin, speculative position rather than an actively discovered market.

Cross-venue

Also on polymarket at —¢

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.95Close-time delta 14h

Resolution rules

If Adam Foote wins the NHL Jack Adams Award in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 12123.7%

IY (No) 21.0%

Adj IY 6062%

CRI 24

Overround 0.3%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	12123.7%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	21.0%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	6062%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	24	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.3%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/19/2026, 8:04:52 AM

Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 7:53:35 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNHLADAMS-26-AFOO yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →