Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the Oscars?

6¢
Bid/Ask 0/6¢·Spread 6¢·Vol $0·OI $15·Closes Dec 31, 2027·621d remaining
KXOSCARACTO-27-AND

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market is essentially illiquid with only $15 in open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 6¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The extreme 920% implied yield on the Yes side reflects the tiny position size rather than genuine conviction, while the 16 cliff risk index suggests significant uncertainty around resolution mechanics. With 621 days until expiry and the 99th Oscars likely occurring in early 2027, there's ample time for price discovery, but traders should expect wide spreads and difficulty executing meaningful positions in this thin market.

Resolution rules

If Andrew Scott has won Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 920.4%
IY (No) 3.7%
Adj IY 460%
CRI 16
Overround -0.2%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)920.4%
IY (No)3.7%
Adj IY460%
CRI16
Overround-0.2%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
6¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 8:05:39 AM
Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 7:53:35 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXOSCARACTO-27-AND yes 100

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