Will Gregory Soto win NL Reliever of the Year?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 5¢ price potentially unreliable as a true probability estimate. The 2972.6% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic sign of a thin, low-confidence market where the wide 4¢ spread reflects genuine uncertainty rather than efficient pricing. With 233 days until expiration and a moderate Cliff Risk Index of 19, this contract has time for Gregory Soto's 2026 performance to materialize, but traders should be cautious about treating the 5% probability as meaningful given the negligible liquidity.

Resolution rules

If Gregory Soto wins the Pro Baseball National League Reliever of the Year in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

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