Will Lee Murphy be the Republican nominee for Delaware's at-large congressional district?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a 515-day horizon until the September 2027 close, suggesting minimal trader interest in Lee Murphy's nomination prospects. The 0¢ price reflects near-zero conviction in Murphy's chances, though the 4¢ spread and 106.3% implied yield on the Yes side indicate some residual uncertainty that could attract contrarian bettors if Murphy gains traction in Delaware Republican circles. The modest 1¢ price decline over seven days and low cliff risk score suggest this is a stable, dormant market rather than one experiencing active repricing around new information.

Resolution rules

If Lee Murphy wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Delaware at-large congressional district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

Trade