Will Luis Arraez lead Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable. The 4660% implied yield on the Yes side is extraordinarily high and suggests severe mispricing rather than genuine probability assessment, likely driven by the minimal liquidity and wide 4¢ spread. With 188 days to expiration and a neutral regime, this contract would require Arraez to significantly outpace elite sluggers like Aaron Judge or Juan Soto, making the 4% probability reasonable on fundamentals despite the distorted yield metrics.

Resolution rules

If Luis Arraez leads Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

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